{"id":558061,"date":"2024-06-06T17:59:12","date_gmt":"2024-06-06T09:59:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/docs.pingcode.com\/ask\/ask-ask\/558061.html"},"modified":"2024-06-06T17:59:14","modified_gmt":"2024-06-06T09:59:14","slug":"%e7%ae%a1%e7%90%86%e5%ad%a6%e9%9c%80%e6%b1%82%e5%87%bd%e6%95%b0%e6%98%af%e4%bb%80%e4%b9%88%e6%84%8f%e6%80%9d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/docs.pingcode.com\/ask\/ask-ask\/558061.html","title":{"rendered":"\u7ba1\u7406\u5b66\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u610f\u601d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align:center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn-kb.worktile.com\/kb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/25084433\/3b10c2fe-eef8-4685-a9e3-4419a6b7e3ba.webp\" alt=\"\u7ba1\u7406\u5b66\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u610f\u601d\" \/><\/p>\n<p><p><strong>\u7ba1\u7406\u5b66\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570<\/strong>\u662f\u6307\u901a\u8fc7\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u6765\u8868\u793a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5bf9\u5546\u54c1\u6216\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u4e0e\u5176\u4ef7\u683c\u3001\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u3001\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u4e4b\u95f4\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u51fd\u6570\u3002<strong>\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u7ba1\u7406\u8005\u9884\u6d4b\u9500\u552e\u91cf\u3001\u5236\u5b9a\u4ef7\u683c\u7b56\u7565\u3001\u8fdb\u884c\u5e02\u573a\u5206\u6790<\/strong>\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u662f\u5f71\u54cd\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u9700\u6c42\u4e0e\u4ef7\u683c\u5448\u53cd\u6bd4\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5373\u4ef7\u683c\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u8d8a\u4f4e\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u7cbe\u51c6\u5730\u4e86\u89e3\u5e02\u573a\u52a8\u6001\uff0c\u5236\u5b9a\u66f4\u6709\u6548\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h3>\u4e00\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e0e\u57fa\u672c\u6982\u5ff5<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u5b83\u901a\u8fc7\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u8868\u8fbe\u4e86\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5bf9\u67d0\u79cd\u5546\u54c1\u6216\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u4e0e\u5176\u4ef7\u683c\u3001\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u3001\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u901a\u5e38\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u53ef\u4ee5\u8868\u793a\u4e3a\uff1a<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>[ Q_d = f(P, I, P_s, T) ]<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c( Q_d ) \u662f\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\uff0c( P ) \u662f\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c( I ) \u662f\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u6536\u5165\uff0c( P_s ) \u662f\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c( T ) \u662f\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u504f\u597d\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u5728\u7ba1\u7406\u5b66\u4e2d\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u5e2e\u52a9\u4f01\u4e1a\u9884\u6d4b\u4ea7\u54c1\u9500\u552e\u91cf\uff0c\u5236\u5b9a\u4ef7\u683c\u7b56\u7565\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u8425\u9500\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u7406\u89e3\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u9002\u5e94\u5e02\u573a\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5e02\u573a\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h3>\u4e8c\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u5f39\u6027\u4e0e\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u9700\u6c42\u5f39\u6027\u662f\u8861\u91cf\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u53d8\u5316\u654f\u611f\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u6307\u6807\u3002\u4e3b\u8981\u5305\u62ec\u4ef7\u683c\u5f39\u6027\u3001\u6536\u5165\u5f39\u6027\u548c\u4ea4\u53c9\u5f39\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>1\u3001\u4ef7\u683c\u5f39\u6027<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u4ef7\u683c\u5f39\u6027\u8861\u91cf\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u53d8\u52a8\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u4ef7\u683c\u5f39\u6027\u53ef\u4ee5\u5206\u4e3a\u4e09\u79cd\u7c7b\u578b\uff1a<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u5f39\u6027\u9700\u6c42<\/strong>\uff1a\u4ef7\u683c\u53d8\u5316\u5f15\u8d77\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u4ef7\u683c\u5f39\u6027\u7cfb\u6570\u5927\u4e8e1\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u5355\u4e00\u5f39\u6027\u9700\u6c42<\/strong>\uff1a\u4ef7\u683c\u53d8\u5316\u5f15\u8d77\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u6210\u6bd4\u4f8b\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u5f39\u6027\u7cfb\u6570\u7b49\u4e8e1\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u975e\u5f39\u6027\u9700\u6c42<\/strong>\uff1a\u4ef7\u683c\u53d8\u5316\u5f15\u8d77\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u53d8\u5316\u8f83\u5c0f\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u5f39\u6027\u7cfb\u6570\u5c0f\u4e8e1\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><p>\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u4ef7\u683c\u5f39\u6027\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4f18\u5316\u5b9a\u4ef7\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u5229\u6da6\u6700\u5927\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>2\u3001\u6536\u5165\u5f39\u6027<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u6536\u5165\u5f39\u6027\u8861\u91cf\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u5bf9\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u6536\u5165\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u6536\u5165\u5f39\u6027\u53ef\u4ee5\u5206\u4e3a\uff1a<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u6b63\u5e38\u5546\u54c1<\/strong>\uff1a\u6536\u5165\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u6536\u5165\u5f39\u6027\u4e3a\u6b63\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u52a3\u8d28\u5546\u54c1<\/strong>\uff1a\u6536\u5165\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u6536\u5165\u5f39\u6027\u4e3a\u8d1f\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><p>\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6790\u6536\u5165\u5f39\u6027\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bc6\u522b\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u9700\u6c42\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u5236\u5b9a\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>3\u3001\u4ea4\u53c9\u5f39\u6027<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u4ea4\u53c9\u5f39\u6027\u8861\u91cf\u4e00\u79cd\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u5bf9\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u4ea4\u53c9\u5f39\u6027\u53ef\u4ee5\u5206\u4e3a\uff1a<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1<\/strong>\uff1a\u4e00\u79cd\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u5546\u54c1\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4ea4\u53c9\u5f39\u6027\u4e3a\u6b63\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u4e92\u8865\u54c1<\/strong>\uff1a\u4e00\u79cd\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u5546\u54c1\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u4ea4\u53c9\u5f39\u6027\u4e3a\u8d1f\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><p>\u901a\u8fc7\u4ea4\u53c9\u5f39\u6027\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e86\u89e3\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u4e0d\u540c\u5546\u54c1\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4f18\u5316\u4ea7\u54c1\u7ec4\u5408\u548c\u8425\u9500\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h3>\u4e09\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u5728\u4f01\u4e1a\u7ba1\u7406\u4e2d\u7684\u5e94\u7528<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>1\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u901a\u8fc7\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5e02\u573a\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5236\u5b9a\u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u9500\u552e\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e00\u5bb6\u7535\u5b50\u4ea7\u54c1\u516c\u53f8\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u9884\u6d4b\u65b0\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u8c03\u6574\u4ea7\u80fd\u548c\u8425\u9500\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u4ea7\u80fd\u8fc7\u5269\u6216\u4f9b\u5e94\u4e0d\u8db3\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>2\u3001\u4ef7\u683c\u7b56\u7565<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u5e2e\u52a9\u4f01\u4e1a\u4e86\u89e3\u4ef7\u683c\u53d8\u5316\u5bf9\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5236\u5b9a\u5408\u9002\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6790\u4ef7\u683c\u5f39\u6027\uff0c\u786e\u5b9a\u6700\u4f73\u5b9a\u4ef7\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5e02\u573a\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u548c\u5229\u6da6\u7387\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e00\u5bb6\u96f6\u552e\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u5206\u6790\u4e0d\u540c\u4ef7\u683c\u533a\u95f4\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u627e\u5230\u6700\u4f18\u5b9a\u4ef7\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u5229\u6da6\u6700\u5927\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>3\u3001\u4ea7\u54c1\u7ec4\u5408\u4f18\u5316<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u901a\u8fc7\u4ea4\u53c9\u5f39\u6027\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bc6\u522b\u4e0d\u540c\u5546\u54c1\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4f18\u5316\u4ea7\u54c1\u7ec4\u5408\u548c\u8425\u9500\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e00\u5bb6\u8d85\u5e02\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6790\u4ea4\u53c9\u5f39\u6027\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u67d0\u4e9b\u5546\u54c1\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u4e92\u8865\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u8054\u5408\u4fc3\u9500\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u9500\u552e\u989d\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>4\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u7ec6\u5206<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u4f01\u4e1a\u8bc6\u522b\u4e0d\u540c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u5e02\u573a\u7ec6\u5206\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e00\u5bb6\u6c7d\u8f66\u5236\u9020\u5546\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u5206\u6790\u4e0d\u540c\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u3001\u5e74\u9f84\u6bb5\u548c\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u5236\u5b9a\u9488\u5bf9\u6027\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5e02\u573a\u5360\u6709\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h3>\u56db\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u7684\u5efa\u6a21\u65b9\u6cd5<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>1\u3001\u7ebf\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u7ebf\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u5f62\u5f0f\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u4e3a\uff1a<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>[ Q_d = a &#8211; bP ]<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c( a ) \u548c ( b ) \u662f\u5e38\u6570\uff0c( P ) \u662f\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u3002\u7ebf\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u4e0e\u4ef7\u683c\u5448\u7ebf\u6027\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>2\u3001\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u4e0e\u4ef7\u683c\u5448\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u5f62\u5f0f\u6709\u5bf9\u6570\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u548c\u5e42\u51fd\u6570\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u5bf9\u6570\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570<\/strong>\uff1a[ \\ln(Q_d) = a &#8211; b\\ln(P) ]<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u5e42\u51fd\u6570\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570<\/strong>\uff1a[ Q_d = aP^{-b} ]<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><p>\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u5730\u63cf\u8ff0\u590d\u6742\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>3\u3001\u591a\u53d8\u91cf\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u591a\u53d8\u91cf\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u8003\u8651\u4e86\u591a\u4e2a\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5982\u4ef7\u683c\u3001\u6536\u5165\u3001\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u7b49\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u4e3a\uff1a<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>[ Q_d = f(P, I, P_s, T) ]<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u591a\u53d8\u91cf\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u5168\u9762\u5730\u63cf\u8ff0\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u590d\u6742\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u73af\u5883\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h3>\u4e94\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>1\u3001\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u4f30\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u7edf\u8ba1\u5206\u6790\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u6709\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u548c\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52<\/strong>\uff1a\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u7ebf\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u6700\u5c0f\u4e8c\u4e58\u6cd5\u4f30\u8ba1\u6a21\u578b\u53c2\u6570\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52<\/strong>\uff1a\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u6700\u5c0f\u4e8c\u4e58\u6cd5\u4f30\u8ba1\u6a21\u578b\u53c2\u6570\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><p>\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u4f01\u4e1a\u51c6\u786e\u4f30\u8ba1\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>2\u3001\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5206\u6790<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5206\u6790\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u57fa\u4e8e\u65f6\u95f4\u987a\u5e8f\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u4f30\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6790\u5386\u53f2\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u6709\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u6cd5\u3001\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u548cARIMA\u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u6cd5<\/strong>\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u8ba1\u7b97\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\uff0c\u5e73\u6ed1\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5<\/strong>\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u52a0\u6743\u5e73\u5747\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5e73\u6ed1\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/li>\n<li><strong>ARIMA\u6a21\u578b<\/strong>\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u81ea\u56de\u5f52\u548c\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><p>\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5206\u6790\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u4f01\u4e1a\u8bc6\u522b\u5e02\u573a\u5468\u671f\u6027\u548c\u8d8b\u52bf\u6027\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h3>\u516d\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u5e02\u573a\u73af\u5883\u4e2d\u7684\u5e94\u7528<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>1\u3001\u5b8c\u5168\u7ade\u4e89\u5e02\u573a<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u5728\u5b8c\u5168\u7ade\u4e89\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u65e0\u6cd5\u5355\u72ec\u5f71\u54cd\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u4e3b\u8981\u7528\u4e8e\u5206\u6790\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u5236\u5b9a\u751f\u4ea7\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\uff0c\u8c03\u6574\u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u9500\u552e\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5e02\u573a\u5360\u6709\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>2\u3001\u5784\u65ad\u5e02\u573a<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u5728\u5784\u65ad\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u4e86\u89e3\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u5236\u5b9a\u6700\u4f18\u4ef7\u683c\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u5316\u5229\u6da6\u3002\u5784\u65ad\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u5206\u6790\u4ef7\u683c\u5f39\u6027\uff0c\u786e\u5b9a\u6700\u4f73\u5b9a\u4ef7\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5e02\u573a\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u548c\u5229\u6da6\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>3\u3001\u5be1\u5934\u5e02\u573a<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u5728\u5be1\u5934\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u9700\u8981\u8003\u8651\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u5206\u6790\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u5236\u5b9a\u7ade\u4e89\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u7684\u5b9a\u4ef7\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u5236\u5b9a\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5e02\u573a\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>4\u3001\u5784\u65ad\u7ade\u4e89\u5e02\u573a<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u5728\u5784\u65ad\u7ade\u4e89\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u9700\u8981\u901a\u8fc7\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u4e86\u89e3\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u4ea7\u54c1\u5dee\u5f02\u5316\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u7ec6\u5206\u3002\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u5206\u6790\u4e0d\u540c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u5236\u5b9a\u9488\u5bf9\u6027\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5e02\u573a\u5360\u6709\u7387\u548c\u54c1\u724c\u4ef7\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h3>\u4e03\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u7684\u5c40\u9650\u6027\u4e0e\u6539\u8fdb<\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u5206\u6790\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u7ba1\u7406\u4e2d\u5177\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u5c40\u9650\u6027\u3002\u4f01\u4e1a\u9700\u8981\u4e0d\u65ad\u6539\u8fdb\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5e02\u573a\u5206\u6790\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u548c\u5b9e\u7528\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>1\u3001\u6570\u636e\u8d28\u91cf<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u3002\u4f01\u4e1a\u9700\u8981\u786e\u4fdd\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5b8c\u6574\u6027\u3001\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u548c\u53ca\u65f6\u6027\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u6570\u636e\u7f3a\u5931\u548c\u8bef\u5dee\u5bf9\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u4f30\u8ba1\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>2\u3001\u6a21\u578b\u5047\u8bbe<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u6a21\u578b\u901a\u5e38\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e9b\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u5982\u7ebf\u6027\u5173\u7cfb\u3001\u72ec\u7acb\u540c\u5206\u5e03\u7b49\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u5e02\u573a\u73af\u5883\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5047\u8bbe\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5168\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u9700\u8981\u6839\u636e\u5177\u4f53\u60c5\u51b5\u9009\u62e9\u5408\u9002\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><h4>3\u3001\u52a8\u6001\u53d8\u5316<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p><p>\u5e02\u573a\u9700\u6c42\u662f\u52a8\u6001\u53d8\u5316\u7684\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u9700\u8981\u4e0d\u65ad\u66f4\u65b0\u9700\u6c42\u51fd\u6570\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u8ddf\u8e2a\u5e02\u573a\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002\u4f01\u4e1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u5b9e\u65f6\u6570\u636e\u5206\u6790\u548c<a href=\"https:\/\/docs.pingcode.com\/ask\/59192.html\" 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