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2018 United States Senate election in Wisconsin

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2018 United States Senate election in Wisconsin
← 2012
November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)
2024 →
Turnout61.2% Decrease
 
Nominee Tammy Baldwin Leah Vukmir
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,472,914 1,184,885
Percentage 55.36% 44.53%
Baldwin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Vukmir:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data
U.S. senator before election

Tammy Baldwin
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Tammy Baldwin
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Wisconsin took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate from Wisconsin. This election coincided with a gubernatorial election, U.S. House elections and various other state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic senator Tammy Baldwin won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee Leah Vukmir by more than 10 percentage points. This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state Donald Trump won in the 2016 presidential election. The primary elections were held on August 14, with a filing deadline on June 1. Baldwin was unopposed for the Democratic nomination, while Vukmir defeated Charles Barman, Griffin Jones, George Lucia and Kevin Nicholson in the Republican primary.[1]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Tammy Baldwin

U.S. senators

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[28]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tammy Baldwin (incumbent) 510,812 99.64%
Write-in 1,848 0.36%
Total votes 512,660 100%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Kevin Nicholson

Federal officials

U.S. senators

State legislators

Organizations

Newspapers

Leah Vukmir

Federal officials

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Kevin
Nicholson		 Leah
Vukmir		 Other Undecided
Emerson College[85] July 26–28, 2018 238 ± 6.5% 35% 35% 3% 27%
Marist College[86] July 15–19, 2018 355 ± 6.1% 38% 28% <1% 34%
Hodas & Associates (R)[87][A] July 12–16, 2018 600 ± 3.0% 33% 20% – 47%
Marquette University[88] July 11–15, 2018 266 ± 7.0% 32% 34% 2% 30%
Marquette University[89] June 13–17, 2018 274 ± 6.9% 37% 32% 1% 30%
Hodas & Associates (R)[90][A] June 7–12, 2018 600 ± 3.0% 28% 14% – 58%
The Tarrance Group (R)[91][B] May 31 – June 4, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 29% 36% – 35%
American Viewpoint (R)[92][C] May 29–31, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 32% 30% – –
Hodas & Associates (R)[93][A] April 30 – May 3, 2018 240 ± 6.0% 46% 15% – –
WPA Intelligence (R)[94][D] April 2–4, 2018 1,028 ± 3.1% 45% 27% – 28%
Marquette University[95] February 25 – March 1, 2018 243 ± 8.2% 28% 19% 2% 49%
WPA Intelligence (R)[96][D] January 22–23, 2018 350 ± 5.2% 48% 9% 1%[a] 42%
WPA Intelligence (R)[96][D] January 2–3, 2018 350 ± 5.2% 27% 10% 2%[b] 60%
WPA Intelligence (R)[97][D] December 6–7, 2017 1,004 ± 3.1% 30% 23% 2%[b] 45%
Notes
  1. ↑ John Schiess 1%
  2. 1 2 John Schiess 2%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 David
Clarke		 Sean
Duffy		 Undecided
Magellan Strategies (R)[98] February 15–16, 2017 300 ± 5.7% 32% 26% 42%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Vukmir
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  Nicholson
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Republican primary results[28]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Leah Vukmir 217,230 48.90%
Republican Kevin Nicholson 191,276 43.06%
Republican George Lucia 18,786 4.23%
Republican Griffin Jones 8,699 1.96%
Republican Charles Barman 7,959 1.79%
Write-in 303 0.07%
Total votes 444,253 100%

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Leah Vukmir (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Tammy Baldwin (D)

Former U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Debates

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[124] Likely D October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[125] Safe D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[126] Likely D November 5, 2018
Fox News[127][a] Likely D November 5, 2018
CNN[128] Likely D November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[129] Lean D November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

[edit]
%support01020304050602018/03/162018/08/192018/10/072018/11/3BaldwinVukmirOther/UndecidedOpinion polling for the 2018 United States S...
View source data.
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tammy
Baldwin (D)		 Leah
Vukmir (R)		 Other Undecided
Research Co.[130] November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 50% 39% – 11%
Emerson College[131] October 29–31, 2018 604 ± 4.1% 53% 44% – 3%
Marquette University[132] October 24–28, 2018 1,154 LV ± 3.2% 54% 43% – 1%
1,400 RV ± 3.0% 52% 42% – 3%
Ipsos[133] October 12–18, 2018 1,193 ± 3.0% 54% 39% 3% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[134][E] October 10–11, 2018 816 ± 3.4% 52% 42% – 6%
Marquette University[135] October 3–7, 2018 799 LV ± 3.9% 53% 43% – 2%
1,000 RV ± 3.6% 53% 42% – 3%
Marist College[136] September 30 – October 3, 2018 571 LV ± 4.8% 54% 40% 1% 5%
781 RV ± 4.1% 53% 40% 1% 6%
Ipsos[133] September 14–24, 2018 1,109 ± 3.0% 52% 39% 4% 5%
Marquette University[137] September 12–16, 2018 614 LV ± 4.4% 53% 42% – 2%
800 RV ± 4.0% 52% 40% – 4%
Suffolk University[138] August 18–24, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 50% 42% – 8%
Marquette University[139] August 15–19, 2018 601 LV ± 4.5% 49% 47% – 2%
800 RV ± 4.0% 51% 43% – 4%
Emerson College[85] July 26–28, 2018 632 ± 4.2% 50% 36% 4% 10%
Marist College[86] July 15–19, 2018 906 ± 3.8% 55% 38% 1% 6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[140] June 11 – July 2, 2018 968 ± 4.5% 56% 40% – 4%
Marquette University[89] June 13–17, 2018 800 ± 4.0% 49% 40% – 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[141][E] March 15–16, 2018 910 ± 3.3% 51% 39% – 10%
Hypothetical polling

with Kevin Nicholson

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tammy
Baldwin (D)		 Kevin
Nicholson (R)		 Other Undecided
Emerson College[85] July 26–28, 2018 632 ± 4.2% 49% 40% 3% 9%
Marist College[86] July 15–19, 2018 906 ± 3.8% 54% 39% 1% 6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios[140] June 11 – July 2, 2018 968 ± 4.5% 55% 42% – 3%
Marquette University[89] June 13–17, 2018 800 ± 4.0% 50% 39% – 7%
Public Policy Polling (D)[141][E] March 15–16, 2018 910 ± 3.3% 51% 38% – 11%

with generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tammy
Baldwin (D)		 Generic
Republican		 Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios[142] February 12 – March 5, 2018 1,668 ± 3.6% 49% 46% 5%

with David Clarke

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tammy
Baldwin (D)		 David
Clarke (R)		 Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies (R)[98] February 9–10, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 49% 35% 2% 14%

with Sean Duffy

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tammy
Baldwin (D)		 Sean
Duffy (R)		 Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies (R)[98] February 9–10, 2017 500 ± 4.4% 49% 36% 2% 13%

Results

[edit]

Despite initial expectations of a potentially close race, Baldwin ended up winning by over 10 percentage points, which was the highest margin of victory for a Wisconsin Democratic statewide candidate in 2018. She ran up the margins in the traditional Democratic strongholds of Milwaukee and Madison, but also won in western Wisconsin, Green Bay and most of the counties bordering Illinois, including Racine, Rock, and Kenosha counties.[143] This was the largest margin of victory for the Democrats in a major Wisconsin statewide campaign (presidential, senate, gubernatorial) since 2008.

United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2018[144]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Tammy Baldwin (incumbent) 1,472,914 55.36% +3.95%
Republican Leah Vukmir 1,184,885 44.53% −1.33%
Write-in 2,964 0.11% N/A
Total votes 2,660,763 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

[edit]
County Tammy Baldwin
Democratic		 Leah Vukmir
Republican		 Write-ins Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Adams 4,537 48.3% 4,854 51.6% 8 0.1% -317 -3.3% 9,399
Ashland 4,533 65.8% 2,351 34.1% 8 0.1% 2,182 31.7% 6,892
Barron 8,571 46.3% 9,911 53.6% 11 0.1% -1,340 -7.3% 18,493
Bayfield 5,541 63.1% 3,233 36.8% 1 0.0% 2,308 26.3% 8,775
Brown 59,132 51.4% 55,750 48.5% 184 0.2% 3,382 2.9% 115,066
Buffalo 2,945 49.8% 2,968 50.2% 4 0.1% -23 -0.4% 5,917
Burnett 3,239 43.0% 4,289 57.0% 0 0.0% -1,050 -14.0% 7,528
Calumet 10,741 45.6% 12,822 54.4% 0 0.0% -2,081 -8.8% 23,563
Chippewa 13,798 49.9% 13,830 50.1% 1 0.0% -32 -0.2% 27,629
Clark 5,084 43.7% 6,558 56.3% 2 0.0% -1,474 -12.6% 11,644
Columbia 15,230 56.5% 11,674 43.3% 36 0.1% 3,556 13.2% 26,940
Crawford 3,852 58.8% 2,703 41.2% 0 0.0% 1,149 17.6% 6,555
Dane 228,050 77.6% 65,515 22.3% 414 0.1% 162,535 55.3% 293,979
Dodge 16,007 42.7% 21,482 57.3% 1 0.0% -5,475 -14.6% 37,490
Door 9,442 55.7% 7,494 44.2% 11 0.1% 1,948 11.5% 16,947
Douglas 11,689 62.8% 6,925 37.2% 8 0.0% 4,764 25.6% 18,622
Dunn 9,743 53.0% 8,623 46.9% 1 0.0% 1,120 6.1% 18,367
Eau Claire 29,614 60.9% 18,957 39.0% 71 0.1% 10,657 21.9% 48,642
Florence 729 33.6% 1,438 66.4% 0 0.0% -709 -32.8% 2,167
Fond du Lac 19,065 42.7% 25,496 57.2% 41 0.1% -6,431 -14.5% 44,602
Forest 1,879 47.6% 2,062 52.3% 3 0.1% -183 -4.7% 3,944
Grant 10,554 54.3% 8,860 45.6% 6 0.0% 1,694 8.7% 19,420
Green 10,294 60.4% 6,732 39.5% 11 0.1% 3,562 20.9% 17,037
Green Lake 3,222 39.7% 4,893 60.3% 2 0.0% -1,671 -20.6% 8,117
Iowa 7,270 65.4% 3,835 34.5% 9 0.1% 3,435 30.9% 11,114
Iron 1,459 47.6% 1,605 52.4% 0 0.0% -146 -4.8% 3,064
Jackson 4,370 54.8% 3,611 45.2% 0 0.0% 759 9.6% 7,981
Jefferson 18,055 47.6% 19,809 52.3% 47 0.1% -1,754 -4.7% 37,911
Juneau 4,658 46.1% 5,429 53.8% 9 0.1% -771 -7.7% 10,096
Kenosha 38,296 56.7% 29,181 43.2% 112 0.2% 9,115 13.5% 67,589
Kewaunee 4,287 45.3% 5,158 54.6% 9 0.1% -871 -9.3% 9,454
La Crosse 35,731 62.8% 21,160 37.2% 0 0.0% 14,571 25.6% 56,891
Lafayette 3,592 55.3% 2,900 44.7% 1 0.0% 692 10.6% 6,493
Langlade 3,889 42.6% 5,239 57.4% 0 0.0% -1,350 -14.8% 9,128
Lincoln 6,463 48.3% 6,901 51.6% 15 0.1% -438 -3.3% 13,379
Manitowoc 16,541 46.8% 18,795 53.1% 37 0.1% -2,254 -6.3% 35,373
Marathon 29,084 47.1% 32,661 52.8% 68 0.1% -3,577 -5.7% 61,813
Marinette 7,520 43.6% 9,731 56.4% 1 0.0% -2,211 -12.8% 17,252
Marquette 3,337 46.8% 3,791 53.1% 6 0.1% -454 -6.3% 7,134
Menominee 896 80.3% 220 19.7% 0 0.0% 676 60.6% 1,116
Milwaukee 280,426 71.4% 111,684 28.4% 748 0.2% 168,742 43.0% 392,858
Monroe 8,151 48.7% 8,559 51.2% 21 0.1% -408 -2.5% 16,731
Oconto 7,042 40.4% 10,392 59.6% 15 0.1% -408 -19.2% 16,731
Oneida 9,338 48.0% 10,112 51.9% 23 0.1% -774 -3.9% 19,473
Outagamie 41,618 50.2% 41,354 49.8% 2 0.0% 264 0.4% 82,974
Ozaukee 21,464 42.1% 29,480 57.8% 66 0.1% -8,016 -15.7% 51,010
Pepin 1,529 49.2% 1,578 50.8% 0 0.0% -49 1.6% 3,107
Pierce 9,216 52.8% 8,247 47.2% 3 0.0% 969 5.6% 17,466
Polk 8,299 44.8% 10,245 55.2% 0 0.0% -1,946 -10.4% 18,544
Portage 20,170 58.1% 14,510 41.8% 45 0.1% 5,660 16.3% 34,725
Price 3,136 47.2% 3,515 52.8% 0 0.0% -379 -5.6% 6,651
Racine 45,397 52.3% 41,213 47.5% 140 0.2% 4,184 4.8% 86,750
Richland 4,000 57.3% 2,980 42.7% 6 0.1% 1,020 14.6% 6,986
Rock 42,616 62.7% 25,322 37.2% 73 0.1% 17,294 25.5% 68,011
Rusk 2,654 43.9% 3,381 55.9% 11 0.2% -727 -12.0% 6,046
St. Croix 18,765 47.1% 21,069 52.9% 30 0.1% -2,304 -5.8% 39,864
Sauk 16,960 58.8% 11,866 41.2% 0 0.0% 5,094 17.6% 28,826
Sawyer 3,938 48.6% 4,159 51.3% 3 0.0% -221 -2.7% 8,100
Shawano 7,414 41.5% 10,438 58.5% 0 0.0% -3,024 -17.0% 17,852
Sheboygan 24,183 45.7% 28,667 54.2% 75 0.1% -4,484 -8.5% 52,925
Taylor 3,028 37.7% 5,005 62.3% 2 0.0% -1,977 -24.6% 8,035
Trempealeau 6,526 53.6% 5,633 46.3% 9 0.1% 893 7.3% 12,168
Vernon 7,495 57.8% 5,459 42.1% 5 0.0% 2,036 15.7% 12,969
Vilas 5,308 42.5% 7,166 57.4% 17 0.1% -1,858 -14.9% 12,491
Walworth 20,299 44.9% 24,844 54.9% 73 0.2% -4,545 -10.0% 45,216
Washburn 3,664 46.6% 4,190 53.3% 4 0.1% -526 -6.7% 7,858
Washington 23,072 32.9% 47,102 67.1% 1 0.0% -24,030 -34.2% 70,175
Waukesha 84,147 38.1% 136,190 61.7% 293 0.1% -52,043 -23.6% 220,630
Waupaca 9,509 42.6% 12,792 57.3% 15 0.1% -3,283 -14.7% 22,316
Waushara 4,434 42.1% 6,106 57.9% 0 0.0% -1,672 -15.8% 10,540
Winnebago 40,185 53.2% 35,282 46.7% 118 0.2% 4,903 6.5% 75,585
Wood 15,992 48.6% 16,899 51.3% 28 0.1% -907 -2.7% 32,919
Totals1,472,91455.4%1,184,88544.5%2,9640.1%288,02910.9%2,660,763

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

As a result of partisan gerrymandering, Baldwin only won three out of the state's eight Congressional districts, despite winning the election comfortably by over ten percentage points.[145]

District Baldwin Vukmir Representative
1st 49.6% 50.3% Bryan Steil
2nd 73% 26% Mark Pocan
3rd 56% 44% Ron Kind
4th 79% 21% Gwen Moore
5th 43% 57% Jim Sensenbrenner
6th 47% 52% Glenn Grothman
7th 48% 52% Sean Duffy
8th 48% 51% Mike Gallagher

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Restoration PAC, a conservative super PAC that supported Nicholson.
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by Wisconsin Next PAC, a conservative super PAC that supported Vukmir.
  3. ↑ Poll sponsored by Vukmir's campaign.
  4. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Nicholson's campaign.
  5. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care.


References

[edit]
  1. ↑ "Elections - Wisconsin Elections Commission". elections.wi.gov. Archived from the original on April 17, 2018. Retrieved March 29, 2018.
  2. ↑ "Sen. Baldwin prepares for re-election fight in 2018". April 19, 2017. Archived from the original on November 4, 2017. Retrieved October 30, 2017.
  3. 1 2 "WI-Sen: Sen. Cory Booker (D. NJ) Helps Fuel Tammy Baldwin's (D) Re-Election Campaign". Daily Kos. March 11, 2018. Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. Retrieved May 19, 2018.
  4. 1 2 "WI-Sen: Sen. Tammy Duckwoth (D. IL) Refuses To Let Cadet Bone Spurs Defeat A Fellow Tammy". Daily Kos. March 27, 2018. Archived from the original on May 19, 2018. Retrieved May 19, 2018.
  5. 1 2 "WI, FL & VA-Sen: Sen. Dick Durbin (D. IL) Helps These Democrats Keep Up The Resistance". Daily Kos. October 30, 2017. Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. Retrieved May 19, 2018.
  6. 1 2 "WI-Sen: Russ Feingold (D) Refuses To Let Right-Wing Billionaires Defeat Tammy Baldwin (D)". Daily Kos. June 22, 2017. Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. Retrieved May 19, 2018.
  7. 1 2 "WI-Sen: Al Franken (D. MN) Helps Fuel Tammy Baldwin's (D) Campaign To Continue To Take On Trump". Daily Kos. June 22, 2017. Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. Retrieved May 19, 2018.
  8. 1 2 "WI-Sen: Kamala Harris (D. CA) Helps Tammy Baldwin (D) Keep Up The Fight To Defeat Trumpcare". Daily Kos. June 22, 2017. Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. Retrieved May 19, 2018.
  9. 1 2 "MA, MO & WI-Sen: Sen. Maggie Hassan (D. NH) Helps These Women Persist & Resist Trump". Daily Kos. November 7, 2017. Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. Retrieved May 19, 2018.
  10. 1 2 Jones sent out an email to supporters soliciting donations to Baldwin.
  11. 1 2 "MO & WI-Sen: Sen Catherine Cortez Masto (D. NV) Helps These Dems Keep Up The Resistance". Daily Kos. September 29, 2017.
  12. 1 2 "WI-Sen: Sen. Jeff Merkley (D. OR) Refuses To Let Trump & The Kochs Take Down Tammy Baldwin (D)". Daily Kos. March 9, 2018. Archived from the original on May 19, 2018. Retrieved May 19, 2018.
  13. 1 2 "MI, IN, WI, MN, OH & PA-Sen: Sen. Gary Peters (D. MI) Helps Senate Dems Win Big In The Midwest". Daily Kos. February 27, 2018. Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. Retrieved May 19, 2018.
  14. 1 2 Tammy Baldwin. "Exciting announcement: @BernieSanders is coming to Wisconsin to show that he's on #TeamTammy!". Twitter. Archived from the original on July 10, 2018. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  15. 1 2 "Elizabeth Warren to appear at fundraiser for Tammy Baldwin Saturday in Milwaukee". Archived from the original on June 22, 2019. Retrieved October 30, 2017.
  16. 1 2 "WI-Sen: Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D. RI) Refuses To Let Kochs' Dark Money Defeat Tammy Baldwin (D)". Daily Kos. February 8, 2018. Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. Retrieved May 19, 2018.
  17. 1 2 "2018 Council-endorsed Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World. Archived from the original on September 6, 2023. Retrieved June 20, 2018.
  18. 1 2 Hagen, Lisa (January 20, 2017). "Major progressive group unveils first 2018 Senate endorsements". The Hill. Archived from the original on January 27, 2017. Retrieved January 29, 2017.
  19. 1 2 "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018". EMILY's List. February 10, 2017. Archived from the original on February 13, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  20. 1 2 Pathé, Simone (April 13, 2017). "Liberal PAC Makes First Senate Endorsements of 2018". Roll Call. Retrieved April 14, 2017.[dead link]
  21. 1 2 "2018 Senate Endorsees - JStreet". Archived from the original on June 16, 2018. Retrieved June 20, 2018.
  22. 1 2 3 4 "LCV Action Fund and the Sierra Club Endorse Senator Tammy Baldwin for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. March 20, 2018. Archived from the original on March 21, 2018. Retrieved March 21, 2018.
  23. 1 2 "LegitPAC - LegitAction". legitaction.com. Archived from the original on November 2, 2017. Retrieved October 17, 2017.
  24. 1 2 Stewart, Brian (August 1, 2017). "MoveOn Endorses Six Senators' Re-Election Bids, Backing 'Health Care Heroes' for Helping Lead Effort to Stop Trumpcare From Becoming Law, Embracing Progressive Policies in Trump Era". MoveOn.org. Archived from the original on June 22, 2018. Retrieved September 10, 2017.
  25. 1 2 "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  26. 1 2 Dison, Denis (January 31, 2018). "NRDC Action Fund endorses Sens. Tammy Baldwin and Bill Nelson". Natural Resources Defense Council. Archived from the original on March 13, 2018. Retrieved March 13, 2018.
  27. 1 2 Laguens, Dawn; Atkinson, Tanya (May 10, 2018). "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin for Re-election". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Archived from the original on May 19, 2018. Retrieved May 19, 2018.
  28. 1 2 "United States Senate primary election in Wisconsin, 2018" (PDF). Office of the Wisconsin Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 21, 2021. Retrieved June 6, 2019.
  29. ↑ Greenwood, Max (August 14, 2018). "Establishment-backed Vukmir wins Wisconsin GOP Senate primary". The Hill. Archived from the original on July 27, 2021. Retrieved April 16, 2024.
  30. ↑ "BARMAN, CHARLES EDWARD - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov. Archived from the original on September 11, 2020. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  31. ↑ "JONES, GRIFFIN GILBERT - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov. Archived from the original on September 11, 2018. Retrieved April 10, 2018.
  32. ↑ "Wisconsin 2018 General Election". The Green Papers. Archived from the original on June 16, 2018. Retrieved June 16, 2018.
  33. ↑ Glabuer, Bill (July 26, 2017). "Marine veteran Kevin Nicholson launches GOP Wisconsin Senate bid against Tammy Baldwin". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Archived from the original on July 14, 2018. Retrieved July 27, 2017.
  34. ↑ Horning, Joe (January 19, 2017). "Super PAC wants David Clarke to run against Tammy Baldwin". WFRV-TV. Archived from the original on January 31, 2017. Retrieved January 19, 2017.
  35. ↑ ""Cop Under Fire:" Sheriff Clarke says he won't run for Senate, criticizes Gov. Walker in new book". March 1, 2017.
  36. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Curtis, Jake (December 18, 2016). "Buoyed by Trump's win, Wisconsin Republicans eye Baldwin challenge". The Hill. Archived from the original on December 21, 2016. Retrieved December 19, 2016.
  37. ↑ Pathé, Simone (February 15, 2017). "Wisconsin's Sean Duffy Expected to Forgo Senate Bid". Roll Call. Archived from the original on February 16, 2017. Retrieved February 15, 2017.
  38. ↑ "Republican Eric Hovde won't decide Senate run for months". WQOW. Associated Press. November 17, 2016. Archived from the original on November 18, 2016. Retrieved November 17, 2016.
  39. ↑ "Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch Rules Out 2018 Senate Run" (PDF). usnews.com. June 19, 2017. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved June 20, 2017.
  40. ↑ Bader, Jerry (March 28, 2017). "Another GOP Name Surfaces in WI 2018 Senate Race". RightWisconsin. Archived from the original on March 29, 2017. Retrieved March 28, 2017.
  41. ↑ Stein, Jason (June 27, 2017). "Nicole Schneider won't run for Senate against Tammy Baldwin". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Archived from the original on September 11, 2018. Retrieved June 28, 2017.
  42. 1 2 3 "I'm proud to support my colleague, friend and consistent conservative warrior @LeahVukmir for US Senate. #WIsen". Twitter. September 7, 2017. Archived from the original on December 4, 2017. Retrieved September 7, 2017.
  43. ↑ Sommerhauser, Mark (October 6, 2016). "Charlie Sykes: 'Absolutely no truth' to suggestion he'd challenge Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate". Wisconsin State Journal. Archived from the original on October 9, 2016. Retrieved October 11, 2016.
  44. ↑ Drucker, David M. (November 16, 2016). "Gov. Scott Walker leaning toward re-election, rules out 2018 Senate bid". The Washington Examiner. Archived from the original on July 29, 2017. Retrieved November 17, 2016.
  45. ↑ "Steve Bannon injects himself into Wisconsin Senate race, backing Vukmir challenger Kevin Nicholson". October 17, 2017. Archived from the original on October 18, 2017. Retrieved October 17, 2017.
  46. ↑ "John Bolton Endorse Kevin Nicholson in 2018 Wisconsin Senate Race". National Review. August 10, 2017. Archived from the original on October 14, 2017. Retrieved May 2, 2018.
  47. ↑ "Kevin Nicholson on Twitter". Archived from the original on July 10, 2020. Retrieved January 4, 2018.
  48. ↑ "Nicholson campaign: Senator Mike Lee endorses Marine veteran Kevin Nicholson for U.S. senate in Wisconsin". WisPolitics. Archived from the original on April 23, 2018. Retrieved April 23, 2018.
  49. ↑ Jesse Kremer. "Proud to be endorsing @KevinMNicholson for US Senate!". Twitter. Archived from the original on July 10, 2018. Retrieved May 12, 2018.
  50. ↑ Sarah Seifert (May 16, 2018). "Third Wisconsin veterans' tour draws in candidate for U.S. Senate seat at Chippewa Falls stop". Chippewa Herald. Archived from the original on May 26, 2018. Retrieved May 25, 2018.
  51. ↑ "Club PAC-Endorsed Candidates". Club for Growth. Archived from the original on October 17, 2017. Retrieved October 16, 2017.
  52. ↑ "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Kevin Nicholson in Wisconsin Senate Race | FreedomWorks for America". Archived from the original on October 19, 2017. Retrieved October 19, 2017.
  53. ↑ Glauber, Bill (October 16, 2017). "Wisconsin GOP Senate contender Kevin Nicholson wins endorsement from super PAC tied to Steve Bannon". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
  54. ↑ "The Madison Project Endorses Kevin Nicholson". Madison Project. August 24, 2017. Archived from the original on August 10, 2018. Retrieved August 10, 2018.
  55. ↑ "Kevin Nicholson for U.S. Senate". Senate Conservatives Fund. August 9, 2018.
  56. ↑ "Citizens Fund Endorses Kevin Nicholson for Senate in Wisconsin". Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund. April 16, 2018. Archived from the original on April 16, 2018.
  57. 1 2 3 "WISCONSIN FAMILY ACTION PAC ANNOUNCES FIRST ROUND OF FALL 2018 ENDORSEMENTS". Wisconsin Family Action. July 23, 2018. Archived from the original on September 28, 2020. Retrieved August 10, 2018.
  58. 1 2 3 "WRTL PAC Announces Second Round of Endorsements". Wisconsin Right to Life. July 9, 2018. Archived from the original on August 10, 2018. Retrieved August 10, 2018.
  59. ↑ "Nicholson stands out in tight GOP Senate primary". Kenosha News. Archived from the original on November 5, 2018. Retrieved August 2, 2018.
  60. 1 2 Leah Vukmir (January 22, 2018). ".@Reince knows exactly what it takes to win in Wisconsin, and I am honored to have his support for my U.S. Senate campaign. 🇺🇸#wisen #wiright #maga". Twitter. Archived from the original on January 22, 2018. Retrieved January 22, 2018.
  61. 1 2 Imrie, Robert. "Duffy endorses Vukmir in GOP Senate primary". waow.com. Archived from the original on July 10, 2018. Retrieved July 9, 2018.
  62. 1 2 "Glenn Grothman Chooses Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate". Leah Vukmir for Senate. July 9, 2018. Archived from the original on July 10, 2018. Retrieved July 9, 2018.
  63. 1 2 3 4 "RYAN & SENSENBRENNER: WE CHOOSE LEAH". RightWisconsin. June 25, 2018. Archived from the original on June 26, 2018. Retrieved June 26, 2018.
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  65. 1 2 "FORMER LT. GOV. MARGARET FARROW ENDORSES LEAH VUKMIR FOR U.S. SENATE". Right Wisconsin. September 14, 2017. Archived from the original on August 16, 2018. Retrieved September 15, 2017.
  66. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 "Leah announces 300+ Wisconsin endorsements". medium.com. January 31, 2018. Archived from the original on February 4, 2018. Retrieved February 3, 2018.
  67. 1 2 "Join me in supporting @LeahVukmir for US Senate, a proven conservative with a record of reform that she'll take to DC! #wisenate #wiright". Twitter. October 5, 2017.
  68. 1 2 "Honored to have these leaders who helped bring about Trump's, Walker's and RoJo's election victories on my finance team. #wisen #wiright". Twitter. September 21, 2017.
  69. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Leah Reaches 400+ Grassroots Wisconsin Endorsements". medium.com. February 21, 2018. Archived from the original on February 21, 2018. Retrieved February 21, 2018.
  70. 1 2 "Joel Kleefisch: I choose Leah". medium.com. October 26, 2017. Archived from the original on October 27, 2017. Retrieved October 26, 2017.
  71. 1 2 Leah, Vukmir. "Thanks, @RepSteffen, for your endorsement! Appreciate having someone w/so much respect for our police and military on my team! 🇺🇸 #wisen". Twitter. Archived from the original on December 4, 2017. Retrieved October 20, 2017.
  72. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 "Leah Topples 200+ Grassroots Endorsements". medium.com. January 4, 2018. Archived from the original on January 7, 2018. Retrieved January 7, 2018.
  73. 1 2 "Sen. Van Wanggaard endorses Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate". medium.com. October 16, 2017. Archived from the original on October 21, 2017. Retrieved October 20, 2017.
  74. 1 2 Glauber, Bill (March 26, 2018). "Leah Vukmir rolls up support in Wisconsin Senate race from GOP insiders and activists". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
  75. 1 2 "Leah Vukmir Announces Steering Committee for U.S. Senate". medium.com. September 18, 2017.
  76. ↑ "Facebook". facebook.com.
  77. 1 2 Wigderson, James (February 12, 2018). "FIRST LADY TONETTE WALKER SUPPORTS VUKMIR FOR U.S. SENATE". RightWisconsin. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved February 13, 2018.
  78. 1 2 Wigderson, James (August 12, 2018). "WISN'S JAY WEBER ENDORSES VUKMIR FOR SENATE". RightWisconsin. Archived from the original on December 28, 2019. Retrieved August 13, 2018.
  79. 1 2 "Maggie's List Proudly Endorsed Leah Vukmir for U.S Senate". Maggie's List. December 12, 2017. Archived from the original on December 15, 2017.
  80. 1 2 "NRA-PVF | NRA Endorses State Senator Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate in Wisconsin". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. July 17, 2018. Retrieved August 16, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  81. 1 2 Jashinsky, Emily (July 17, 2018). "NRA endorses Leah Vukmir in Wisconsin Senate race". The Washington Examiner. Archived from the original on July 17, 2018.
  82. 1 2 Bill Glauber (May 12, 2018). "Leah Vukmir claims U.S. Senate endorsement at Wisconsin GOP convention". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Archived from the original on June 14, 2018.
  83. 1 2 "ICYMI – RightNOW Women PAC Endorses Leah Vukmir". RightNOW Women. Urban Milwaukee. January 2, 2018. Archived from the original on February 4, 2018.
  84. 1 2 Waukesha Young Republicans. "Young Republicans across Waukesha County TODAY are casting their vote for our great team of proven conservatives to keep WI moving forward & bring the WI Way to DC!! #WIRight #WYR #ChooseLeah #WIYREndorsed". Twitter. Archived from the original on August 27, 2018. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  85. 1 2 3 Emerson College Archived 2018-08-18 at the Wayback Machine
  86. 1 2 3 Marist College
  87. ↑ Hodas & Associates (R)
  88. ↑ Marquette University Archived 2020-03-05 at the Wayback Machine
  89. 1 2 3 "Marquette University" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on June 20, 2018. Retrieved June 20, 2018.
  90. ↑ "Hodas & Associates (R)". Archived from the original on November 8, 2018. Retrieved June 18, 2018.
  91. ↑ The Tarrance Group (R)
  92. ↑ American Viewpoint (R)
  93. ↑ "Hodas & Associates (R)". Archived from the original on June 15, 2018. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  94. ↑ "WPA Intelligence (R)". Archived from the original on November 28, 2018. Retrieved April 6, 2018.
  95. ↑ "Marquette University". Archived from the original on March 5, 2018. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
  96. 1 2 "WPA Intelligence (R)". Archived from the original on February 9, 2018. Retrieved February 8, 2018.
  97. ↑ "WPA Intelligence (R)". Archived from the original on November 8, 2018. Retrieved December 15, 2017.
  98. 1 2 3 Magellan Strategies (R)
  99. ↑ Mike Pence. "Big night for Wisconsin! Congrats to my friend & one of the nation's greatest governors @ScottWalker on his primary victory. And congrats to @LeahVukmir & @BryanSteilForWI, two great future leaders of the GOP!". Twitter. Archived from the original on August 16, 2018. Retrieved August 16, 2018.
  100. ↑ Leah Vukmir. "Leah "is a strong leader who will ensure Wisconsin leads the way into the future. I am pleased to support her candidacy for the Senate." — Condoleezza Rice 🇺🇸 #wisen". Twitter. Archived from the original on November 2, 2018. Retrieved November 1, 2018.
  101. ↑ Donald J. Trump. "Congratulations to Leah Vukmir of Wisconsin on your great win last night. You beat a very tough and good competitor and will make a fantastic Senator after winning in November against someone who has done very little. You have my complete and total Endorsement!". Twitter. Archived from the original on August 16, 2018. Retrieved August 16, 2018.
  102. ↑ Ron Johnson. "Congratulations @LeahVukmir! #wisen". Twitter. Archived from the original on August 27, 2018. Retrieved August 17, 2018.
  103. ↑ Eric Trump. "Thank you WISCONSIN!!! I absolutely loved being in your incredible state in support of the amazing @LeahVukmir, @RepSeanDuffy and @RepGrothman as we work to #MakeAmericaGreatAgain! #USAUSAUSA". Twitter. Archived from the original on October 4, 2020. Retrieved November 4, 2018.
  104. ↑ "Milwaukee Police Association Endorses Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate". Urban Milwaukee. October 29, 2018. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved October 31, 2018.
  105. ↑ "U.S. Chamber of Commerce Endorses Leah Vukmir for U.S. Senate". Urban Milwaukee. October 30, 2018. Archived from the original on October 30, 2018. Retrieved October 31, 2018.
  106. ↑ Joe Biden. "We desperately need men and women of character in elected office. That's why next Tuesday, one week out from Election Day, I'm proud to join @tammybaldwin & @Tony4WI at early vote rallies". Twitter.
  107. ↑ Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote". Twitter. Archived from the original on October 2, 2018. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  108. ↑ Tammy Baldwin. "My friend @joekennedy is getting folks fired up today! He made some new friends at Marquette University this morning and is making sure everyone has a plan to vote!". Twitter.
  109. ↑ Gwen Moore. "I am honored to stand tall with Senator @tammybaldwin in the fight to take #WI back this November! We must work together for progress and prosperity". Twitter. Archived from the original on November 17, 2018. Retrieved October 29, 2018.
  110. ↑ Mark Pocan. "So glad to support @tammybaldwin today". Twitter. Archived from the original on November 17, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2019.
  111. ↑ Tony Evers. "What an incredible afternoon in Milwaukee with @BarackObama, @TammyBaldwin, and our Wisconsin Democratic ticket. Our message was loud and clear: Democrats are fired up to vote and take our state back this November". Twitter.
  112. ↑ Mandela Barnes. "Are we in the cheap seats, or is there just that much support for Tammy Baldwin? The answer is yes!". Twitter.
  113. ↑ Bill de Blasio. "We have to show people their power. People talk themselves out of their power - because they're told that. You're agents of empowerment. @tammybaldwin". Twitter. Archived from the original on May 29, 2019. Retrieved October 24, 2018.
  114. ↑ Tammy Baldwin. ""We need every woman across Wisconsin to stand up with Tammy — she stands up with us every day." — @Schriock1". Twitter. Archived from the original on March 21, 2024. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  115. ↑ Siskind, Amy [@Amy_Siskind] (October 8, 2018). "END Mitch McConnell's reign of terror. Donate/volunteer for these close senate races: Jacky Rosen, NV Phil Bredesen, TN Claire McCaskill, MO Bill Nelson, FL Joe Donnelly, IN Heidi Heitkamp, ND Beto O'Rourke, TX Kyrsten Sinema, AZ Tammy Baldwin, WI" (Tweet). Retrieved October 20, 2018 – via Twitter.
  116. ↑ Tammy Baldwin. ".@WhitfordBradley was in Wausau getting folks fired up to make calls and knock doors for Tammy! As a native Wisconsinite, he knows the stakes are too high in this election to sit on the sidelines". Twitter. Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  117. ↑ "Retiree Group Endorses Sen. Tammy Baldwin for U.S. Senate - Retired Americans". Retired Americans. October 8, 2018. Archived from the original on October 29, 2018. Retrieved October 29, 2018.
  118. ↑ "Tammy Baldwin – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Archived from the original on October 27, 2018. Retrieved October 27, 2018.
  119. ↑ "Candidates We Endorse and Support - NCPSSM". ncpssm.org. Archived from the original on October 4, 2018. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  120. ↑ "Population Connection Action Fund Endorsements". Population Connection. Archived from the original on April 5, 2018. Retrieved October 27, 2018.
  121. ↑ "Endorsed Candidates | Rachel's Action Network". rachelsactionnetwork.org. Archived from the original on October 27, 2018. Retrieved October 27, 2018.
  122. ↑ "Candidates – Run with Pride | Electing LGBTQ+ Candidates to Congress". runwithpride.org. Archived from the original on October 27, 2018. Retrieved October 27, 2018.
  123. ↑ "Wisconsin – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers. Archived from the original on October 28, 2018. Retrieved October 27, 2018.
  124. ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on February 5, 2021. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  125. ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Archived from the original on September 12, 2021. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  126. ↑ Skelley, Geoffrey (June 21, 2018). "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » Senate 2018: Two Rust Belt Ratings Move in the Democrats' Direction". centerforpolitics.org. Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on June 25, 2018. Retrieved June 21, 2018.
  127. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Archived from the original on July 4, 2018. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  128. ↑ "Key Races: Senate". Archived from the original on June 14, 2018. Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  129. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Archived from the original on July 9, 2018. Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  130. ↑ "Research Co" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on November 6, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  131. ↑ "Emerson College". Archived from the original on November 2, 2018. Retrieved November 2, 2018.
  132. ↑ "Marquette University". Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved October 31, 2018.
  133. 1 2 "Ipsos". Archived from the original on September 21, 2018. Retrieved September 26, 2018.
  134. ↑ "Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care)" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on October 15, 2018. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  135. ↑ "Marquette University". Archived from the original on August 31, 2024. Retrieved October 10, 2018.
  136. ↑ "Marist College" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on October 12, 2018. Retrieved October 11, 2018.
  137. ↑ "Marquette University". Archived from the original on September 18, 2018. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
  138. ↑ Suffolk University Archived 2018-11-07 at the Wayback Machine
  139. ↑ "Marquette University". Archived from the original on August 22, 2018. Retrieved August 22, 2018.
  140. 1 2 "SurveyMonkey/Axios". Archived from the original on October 10, 2018. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  141. 1 2 "Public Policy Polling (D)" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on March 22, 2018. Retrieved March 21, 2018.
  142. ↑ SurveyMonkey/Axios
  143. ↑ Glauber, Bill. "Tammy Baldwin's win - the largest in a top race in Wisconsin in 12 years - offers road map for 2020". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Archived from the original on December 31, 2019. Retrieved November 14, 2018.
  144. ↑ "Canvass Results for 2018 General Election" (PDF). elections.wi.gov. December 9, 2018. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 17, 2022. Retrieved December 30, 2018.
  145. ↑ "DRA 2020". davesredistricting.org. Retrieved September 15, 2026.
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