2026 United States Senate election in Wyoming
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November 3, 2026
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| Elections in Wyoming |
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The 2026 United States Senate election in Wyoming will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Wyoming. Republican congresswoman Harriet Hageman and Democratic former state representative James W. Byrd are the nominees for their respective parties. Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis is not seeking a second term.
Primary elections were held on August 18. In the Republican primary, Hageman won the nomination with 64.9% of the vote against former Kirby mayor Sam Mead. Byrd won the Democratic nomination with 79.3% of the vote, facing minimal opposition.
Democrats have not won a Senate race in Wyoming since 1970.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Harriet Hageman, U.S. representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district (2023–present) and candidate for governor in 2018[1][2]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jill M. Edwards, massage therapist[3][2]
- John A. Holtz, retired circuit court judge and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018, 2020 and 2024[3][2]
- Sam Mead, former mayor of Kirby, nephew of former governor of Wyoming Matt Mead, and great-grandson of former U.S. senator Clifford Hansen[4][2]
- Jimmy Skovgard, Wyoming Army National Guard veteran[5][2]
Declined
[edit]- Cynthia Lummis, incumbent U.S. senator (2021–present)[6] (endorsed Hageman)[7]
- Mark Gordon, governor of Wyoming[8]
Endorsements
[edit]Harriet Hageman
- Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[9] (previously endorsed Lummis)[10]
- U.S. senators
- John Barrasso, Wyoming (2007–present)[11]
- Cynthia Lummis, Wyoming (2021–present)[7]
- U.S. representatives
- David McIntosh, former IN-2 (1995–2001)[12]
- Statewide officials
- Megan Degenfelder, Wyoming superintendent of public instruction (2023–present)[13]
- Chuck Gray, Wyoming secretary of state (2023–present)[13]
- State legislators
- Chip Neiman, speaker of the Wyoming House of Representatives (2025–present) from HD-01 (2021–present)[14]
- Organizations
- American Conservation Coalition[15]
- Club for Growth PAC[13]
- Maggie's List[16]
- Senate Conservatives Fund (previously endorsed Lummis)[17]
- Turning Point Action[18]
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce[19]
- State Parties
Cynthia Lummis (declined)
- Executive branch officials
Donald Trump, 45th and 47th president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[10] (switched endorsement to Hageman)[9]
- U.S. senators
- Ted Cruz, Texas (2013–present)[21]
- Mike Lee, Utah (2011–present)[21]
- Bernie Moreno, Ohio (2025–present)[21]
- Rick Scott, Florida (2019–present)[21]
- Eric Schmitt, Missouri (2023–present)[21]
- Roger Marshall, Kansas (2021–present)[21]
- Organizations
- AIPAC[22]
Senate Conservatives Fund[23] (switched endorsement to Hageman)[17]
Fundraising
[edit]Italics indicate a declined candidate.
| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Harriet Hageman (R) | $2,023,907 | $1,943,028 | $963,842 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[24] | |||
Debate
[edit]| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
|||||||||
| Jill Edwards | Harriet Hageman | John Holtz | Sam Mead | Jimmy Skovgard | |||||
| 1 | Aug. 13, 2026 | Central Wyoming College Cowboy State Daily Wyoming PBS Wyoming Public Media |
Steve Peck | YouTube | A | P | P | P | P |
Results
[edit]
Hageman
- 40–50%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Mead
- 70–80%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Harriet Hageman | 83,807 | 64.9 | |
| Republican | Sam Mead | 35,879 | 27.8 | |
| Republican | Jimmy Skovgard | 3,527 | 2.7 | |
| Republican | Jill M. Edwards | 3,431 | 2.7 | |
| Republican | John A. Holtz | 2,539 | 2.0 | |
| Total votes | 129,183 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- James Byrd, former state representative from the 44th district (2009–2019) and nominee for secretary of state in 2018[25][2]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| James Byrd (D) | $19,575 | $18,376 | $1,689 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[26] | |||
Debate
[edit]| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Billy Benavidez | James Byrd | |||||
| 1 | Aug. 13, 2026 | Central Wyoming College Cowboy State Daily Wyoming PBS Wyoming Public Media |
Steve Peck | YouTube | P | P |
Results
[edit]
Byrd
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | James Byrd | 9,591 | 79.3 | |
| Democratic | Billy Benavidez | 2,499 | 20.7 | |
| Total votes | 12,090 | 100.0 | ||
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[27] | Solid R | September 15, 2026 |
| Decision Desk HQ[28] | Safe R | September 18, 2026 |
| The Economist[29][a] | Safe R | September 18, 2026 |
| FiftyPlusOne[30] | Safe R | September 19, 2026 |
| Fox News[31] | Solid R | August 18, 2026 |
| Inside Elections[32] | Solid R | September 17, 2026 |
| RealClearPolitics[33] | Solid R | September 18, 2026 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Safe R | August 26, 2026 |
| Silver Bulletin[35] | Solid R | September 19, 2026 |
| Split Ticket[36] | Safe R | September 20, 2026 |
Fundraising
[edit]| Campaign finance reports as of July 29, 2026 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Harriet Hageman (R) | $2,435,023 | $2,402,617 | $915,369 |
| James W. Byrd (D) | $22,559 | $23,293 | $356 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[24] | |||
Notes
[edit]- ↑ The Economist's prediction model uses unconventional terminology. For the purpose of equivalency, their "Very Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Likely" rating while "Likely" ratings are formatted as a "Lean" rating.
References
[edit]- ↑ Steinhauser, Paul (December 23, 2025). "Scoop: Trump ally who ousted Cheney launches Senate bid keep GOP seat in Republican hands". Fox News. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "2026 Unofficial Primary Election Candidate Roster" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State.
- 1 2 3 "Candidate filings as of 5-27-26". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. May 27, 2026. Retrieved May 29, 2026.
- ↑ Robinson Johnson, Evan (April 23, 2026). "Jackson's Sam Mead challenges Hageman for Senate". KHOL. Retrieved April 25, 2026.
- ↑ "Mills veteran seeks US Senate seat". Oil City News. January 21, 2026. Retrieved March 10, 2026.
- ↑ Mestas, Denise (December 19, 2025). "Lummis Announces Decision To Not Seek Re-Election in 2026". Wyoming News Now. Retrieved December 19, 2025.
- 1 2 "Lummis endorses Hageman to succeed her in U.S. Senate". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. January 15, 2026. Retrieved January 16, 2026.
- ↑ Exchange, Jasmine Hall Jackson Hole News&Guide Via Wyoming News (June 2, 2026). "Gordon will not run for any political office in 2026". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 5, 2026.
- 1 2 Lewis, Ray (December 23, 2025). "Trump endorses Wyoming's congresswoman for Senate". The National Desk. Retrieved December 28, 2025.
- 1 2 Stingray, River (March 27, 2025). "Trump endorses Lummis for second term far ahead of 2026 election". Buckrail. Retrieved April 10, 2025.
- ↑ "Wyoming Sen. John Barrasso endorses Harriet Hageman in Senate race". Retrieved January 12, 2026.
- ↑ Mitola, Will (December 23, 2025). "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Harriet Hageman in WY-SEN Race". Retrieved September 15, 2026.
- 1 2 3 Mullen, Maggie (December 23, 2025). "Wyoming's Rep. Harriet Hageman announces run for U.S. Senate". WyoFile. Retrieved December 23, 2025.
- ↑ McFarland, Clair (December 23, 2025). "Degenfelder 'Strongly Considering' Run For Governor, Others Ponder Higher Office". Cowboy State Daily. Retrieved December 29, 2025.
- ↑ "Harriet Hageman". American Conservation Coalition Action. Retrieved August 19, 2026.
- ↑ "Momentum Builds: Maggie's List Adds 8 to Growing 2026 Endorsement List". maggieslist.org. March 23, 2026. Retrieved March 25, 2026.
- 1 2 "Harriet Hageman for Senate". Senate Conservatives Fund. January 12, 2026. Retrieved January 16, 2026 – via Substack.
- ↑ "Endorsements". Turning Point Action. Retrieved January 29, 2026.
- ↑ Houtakker, Owen (August 4, 2026). "Hageman receives U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement". WyomingNews. Retrieved August 12, 2026.
- ↑ https://cowboystatedaily.com/2026/07/20/wyoming-gop-endorses-brent-bien-chuck-gray-and-harriet-hageman/
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 Caldwell, George (September 25, 2025). "Wyoming Sen. Lummis Touts Major Endorsements for Reelection". The Daily Signal. Retrieved September 26, 2025.
- ↑ Wolfson, Leo (March 11, 2025). "Cynthia Lummis 'Gearing Up For Reelection' To US Senate In 2026". Cowboy State Daily. Retrieved May 13, 2025.
- ↑ "Our Candidates: 2026 Endorsements". SenateConservatives.com. Senate Conservatives Fund. Retrieved November 25, 2025.
- 1 2 "2026 Election United States Senate". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved October 11, 2025.
- ↑ Zahn, Noah (February 17, 2026). "Former Wyoming Rep. James Byrd announces bid for U.S. Senate". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved February 17, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Election United States Senate". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved October 11, 2025.
- ↑ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Senate Ratings". Decision Desk HQ. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Senate Forecast". The Economist. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Congressional Forecast". FiftyPlusOne. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
- ↑ Numa, Rémy (August 18, 2026). "Fox News Power Rankings: As Democrats turn left, Black voters tap the brakes". Fox News. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
- ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2026". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
- ↑ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2026.
- ↑ Silver, Nate; McKown-Dawson, Eli (September 19, 2026) [August 11, 2026]. "FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast". Silver Bulletin. Archived from the original on September 20, 2026. Retrieved September 20, 2026 – via Substack.
- ↑ "Split Ticket 2026 Midterms Model". The Argument. Retrieved September 19, 2026 – via Substack.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites